District 7 voters are now early voting.
Once voting begins, most credible pollsters use exit polls of those who just voted to determine who the voters are most likely to elect on June 14th. Exit polls are made up of voters who have actually voted. These are not likely voters. These are actual voters.
So it came as a shock to everyone today, when Myrtle Beach Area Chamber of Commerce associated political operative Robert Cahaly produced a poll that did not rely on exit polling methodology.
Why create a traditional poll (not including exit data) at this point in the race?
Cahaly manages the Trafalgar Group, a political polling operation. BUT, he is so much more than that politically. Cahaly shifts millions in PAC monies from as far away as Louisiana to Utah to Wyoming and D.C. He is famous for moving PAC funds from one PAC to another for candidates that most desperately need last minute help. It’s all legal folks.
We laid out his connections to the Myrtle Beach Area Chamber of Commerce, as well as, Horry County Councilman Tyler Servant in an article published last year. That matter is now headed to court.
Who Is Cahaly Working For?
Is Cahaly working for Rice’s Campaign Manager, Walter Whetsell, or he is working for Fry. It is impossible to know his motives.
However, on Florence radio yesterday he couched his own poll by saying that the numbers were skewed as he did not consider Democrat cross over voters in his recent poll.
As Cahaly states, Democrats have been crossing over in large numbers to vote in open primaries in Georgia, as well as, several other states. Cahaly points this out in the audio below.
CLICK CAHALY AUDIO TO HEAR HOW TRAFALGAR DISCREDITS THEIR OWN POLL
Cahaly’s poll has Fry at 42.4%.
Cahaly’s poll has Rice at 24.9%.
Ken Richardson and Barbara Arthur are next at around 9.6+.
TRUER NUMBERS
Factoring in Democrat voters, especially from west of the Pee Dee river in Florence, Marion, Dillon, Chesterfield, Hartsville, etc… the numbers shake out to:
RICE – 34%
FRY – 33%
then Richardson, followed by other candidates.
THE PROBLEM WITH CAHALY’S POLL
In Horry County, as much as half the MAGA electorate polled will not vote twice in a FRY – RICE runoff, as unofficially polled by our news team from talking to those who voted early to date. It is a small sample size, but clearly an eye opener.
FRY has high negatives among Horry County MAGA voters. The same is not as true west of the Pee Dee. Voters are not as informed about Fry’s 58% conservative voting record in those areas.
AN OPEN DOOR FOR RICE
Rice’s only chance to win is to get into a runoff with a like minded Myrtle Beach Area Chamber of Commerce favored candidate. The only candidate matching that description is Russell Fry.
Horry County MAGA voters are not as likely to vote at all on June 28th, if Russell Fry and Tom Rice each make the runoff.
Fry has consistently carried water (state-wide) for the Myrtle Beach Area Chamber of Commerce’s RINO agenda. This includes his strong support for I-73 over local roads funding.
A TRUMP DEFEAT WOULD SET EVERYONE IN AMERICA BACK
Should Rice and Fry make the run off with Rice winning on June 28th, Rice will have scored his biggest win to date.